Combating Obstacles
1. Obstacle 1: "Businesses Will Close! / Move Overseas!"
Response:
- Most Businesses Can't Move: (Restaurants, retail, healthcare, and construction - must be local)
- Manufacturing: Can be moved, but...
- Tariffs: On companies that offshore (100% tariff on goods made by companies that moved jobs overseas)
- Clawbacks: Must repay all tax breaks, subsidies
- Exit Fees: Compensate community
- Result: More expensive to move than to stay, pay fair wages
- Evidence: Nordic countries have strong labor laws, haven't seen mass exodus (because productivity is high, workers are skilled, markets are valuable)
2. Obstacle 2: "Small Businesses Can't Afford $41/hr!"
Response:
- Tax Credits: Small businesses (<100 employees) get federal tax credits to offset wage increases
- Example: Small restaurant, 20 employees, each gets $7/hour raise
- Cost: 20 × $7 × 2,080 hours = $291,200/year
- Tax Credit: $200,000 (federal - covers most of increase)
- Example: Small restaurant, 20 employees, each gets $7/hour raise
- Phased Implementation: 3 years to reach $27/hour (businesses have time to adjust)
- Customers Have More Money: Higher wages → more consumer spending → more business (offsets wage costs)
Evidence:
- Seattle: Raised minimum to $15/hour (2014-2017)
- Result: Restaurant employment increased (contrary to predictions)
- Why: Workers had more money and ate out more
3. Obstacle 3: "Inflation Will Explode"
Response:
- Demand-Pull Inflation: (From more consumer spending) - yes, some
- Estimate: 2-3% additional inflation (over 3 years)
- But: Wages index to inflation (COLA), so workers protected
- Cost-Push Inflation: (From higher labor costs) - minimal
- Labor is 25-30% of Costs: (For most businesses)
- $10/hour Raise: Increases labor costs ~30% (from $20 to $30)
- 30% Increase in 25% of costs: = 7.5% total cost increase
- Prices Increase: ~5-7% (businesses absorb some, pass some to consumers)
- But Workers' Wages Increased 35%: ($20 to $30), so net gain
Evidence:
- Nordic Countries: High minimum wages and low inflation (because productivity is high, economies are efficient)
4. Obstacle 4: "Automation Will Replace Workers"
Response:
- Automation Consultation: Workers must approve automation (50% board seats, sectoral bargaining includes automation clauses)
- Retraining Guaranteed: If automation happens, then workers get free retraining + guaranteed jobs in other divisions (see 'Reskill, Not Abandon for re-skilling )
- Automation is Already Happening: Regardless of wages (fast food kiosks, self-checkout - happening because technology improves, not because of wages)
- High Wages Fund Automation Gradually: Not a shock (companies invest in automation over time, workers transition)
Evidence:
- Denmark: Has a robot density 2x U.S. (robots per worker), but unemployment is 5% (same as U.S.)
- Why: Robots complement workers (don't replace), and strong unions negotiate for retraining
5. Obstacle 5 "Union Corruption"
Response:
- Some Unions are Corrupt: True (Teamsters in 1970s, etc.)
- Solution: Democracy
- Member-run Unions: Elections, transparency, and accountability
- Department of Labor Oversight: For financial malfeasance (already exists, strengthen it)
- Corrupt Unions Are Better Than No Unions:
- Union Wage Premium: 10-20% (even with corrupt leadership, workers earn more)
- Non-Corrupt Unions: Even better (30-40% wage premium)
Evidence:
- Most Unions aren't Corrupt: (Teachers, nurses, and machinists, etc. - democratically run, effective)
- Corporate Propaganda: Exaggerates corruption (to discredit all unions)
6. Obstacle 6 "Workers Don't Want Unions"
Response:
- Polls Show: 60% of workers want unions (Gallup, 2023)
- But Only 10% Have Unions: Why?
- Employer Intimidation: Workers were fired and threatened (so they vote no even though they want union)
- Delay Tactics: By time election happens, workers are scared
- With Card Check: No employer intimidation (just sign card, union recognized)
- Expect: Union density shoots to 50%+ (repressed demand unleashed)
Evidence:
- Canada: Has card check in some provinces
- Union Density: 30% (vs. 10% in U.S.)
- Why: Card check makes organizing possible
7. Obstacle 7 "Constitutional Challenges"
Response:
- Commerce Clause: Congress has authority to regulate interstate commerce (includes labor)
- Precedent: Fair Labor Standards Act (minimum wage, overtime) - upheld by Supreme Court
- If the Supreme Court Strikes It Down: Pass constitutional amendment
- 28th Amendment: "Workers have the right to organize, bargain collectively, and strike. Congress shall have power to enforce this article by appropriate legislation."
- Requires: 2/3 of Congress, 3/4 of states (difficult, but possible with mass movement)